2026 Football Prediction: Which Favorite Is Most Likely to Be Eliminated Next?

Several major favorites are still chasing the trophy, but recent upsets have changed the picture. This 2026 football prediction uses the latest Polymarket data and knockout results to look at which leading team could be the next to go home, while the new Champion Challenge in WEEX Cup Dice Rush gives fans another reason to think carefully about who they believe will go all the way.

The list of favorites is getting shorter. Germany is out. The Netherlands is out. Brazil is out. Portugal is out.

That is why the latest 2026 football prediction looks very different from the one fans were making only a week ago. The 2026 football prediction market has moved quickly after a series of knockout surprises, and even the strongest teams no longer look completely safe. If you follow the latest 2026 football prediction data on Polymarket, France is now the clear leader in the race for the title, while the teams behind them are fighting through a bracket that has already punished several big names.

So, which favorite could be next?

France Is the Favorite, but Morocco Has Done This Before

Polymarket currently gives France around a 33% chance of becoming champion, the highest probability of any team still in the tournament. That is a major jump from earlier stages, and it is easy to understand why.

France has looked controlled rather than spectacular. They beat Sweden 3-0 before getting past Paraguay 1-0, and their route through the knockout stage has been built on avoiding mistakes. In a tournament where famous teams keep disappearing, that matters.

Their next opponent, however, is Morocco.

Calling Morocco an easy quarterfinal would be a mistake. The team has already eliminated the Netherlands and then beat Canada 3-0. Polymarket traders still see France as the stronger side, but the market gives Morocco roughly a one-in-five chance of advancing from the quarterfinal.

That is not a tiny number.

France should still be expected to go through, but Morocco has already shown that reputation means very little once a knockout match begins. One goal, one red card or one difficult penalty shootout can completely change the bracket.

France is the favorite for a reason. It is just not a safe favorite.

Spain Has Momentum, but Belgium Is a Different Test

Spain entered the tournament as one of the most discussed teams, and the recent results have only increased that attention.

A 3-0 win over Austria was convincing. The 1-0 victory over Portugal was much harder, but perhaps more important. Spain found a way through a tense match and ended Cristiano Ronaldo's final run at the trophy.

Now comes Belgium.

This is where the next round becomes interesting. Belgium has not received the same level of attention as France, Spain or England, but a 4-1 win over the United States was difficult to ignore. A team that can score four goals in a knockout match is not an opponent you want to underestimate.

Spain will probably have more of the ball. Belgium may be happy to let them have it.

For fans making a 2026 football prediction, this match is a good reminder that the team with the better overall chance of becoming champion does not always have an easy chance of winning the next game. Tournament predictions and individual match predictions are two different things.

Spain remains one of the strongest teams left. Still, the gap between the two sides may be smaller than the champion market suggests.

England May Be the Favorite in the Most Dangerous Position

If one major favorite is going home next, England may be the most interesting choice.

England survived a difficult Round of 16 match against Mexico and won 3-2. That result moved the team deeper into the tournament, but it did not remove every question about the defense.

Now England has to face Norway.

A few weeks ago, many fans might have seen that as a good draw. Nobody should see it that way now.

Norway has just eliminated Brazil. Erling Haaland is also level at the top of the scoring race with seven goals, alongside Kylian Mbappé and Lionel Messi. Norway may not have the history of the other remaining teams, but history does not score goals.

England has more tournament experience and greater depth across the squad. Norway has momentum, confidence and perhaps the most dangerous striker left in the competition.

That combination makes this a very uncomfortable quarterfinal.

If you are looking for the favorite most likely to be eliminated next, England has the strongest case. Not because England is weak, but because Norway has already shown that it can beat a team with much bigger expectations.

WEEX Cup: Dice Rush Adds a New Champion Challenge

The knockout stage is making every football prediction more difficult, and WEEX Cup Dice Rush is also upgrading its football season experience as the race for the title heats up.

The activity already combines board-game rewards with football match interactions. You can complete activity tasks to collect dice, roll the dice to move across the board, and receive rewards based on the spaces where you land. Available rewards may include BTC, ETH, USDT, bonuses, discount vouchers, extra dice and activity points, depending on the activity page.

The more you take part, the more ways you have to continue through the activity. Completing tasks can give you more dice, more rolls can unlock more board rewards, and the points you collect can be used to reach milestone rewards and join football-related interactions.

Until now, the football interaction has focused on individual match results. You can use activity points to support a win, draw or loss outcome, with the final result deciding the points you receive.

Now there is a new question to answer: who do you think will win it all?

The football interaction experience has been expanded with the new Champion Challenge. During the activity, you can use your activity points to support the team you believe will become the final champion. Instead of focusing on the result of one match, your choice follows the title race all the way to the final.

After the final, users who successfully select the championship-winning team will be ranked according to the final points they earn through the Champion Challenge. The dedicated prize pool will then be shared according to the activity rules.

That makes the timing especially interesting. Polymarket may show where the wider market stands, but football has already proved how quickly the favorite can change. France may lead today, while Spain, England and other remaining teams still have their own paths to the trophy.

The question is no longer only which favorite could be eliminated next. It is also which team you believe will still be standing at the end.

With the Champion Challenge now live, your activity points can follow that choice all the way to the final.

So, Which Favorite Is Most Likely to Go Home Next?

France has the biggest target on its back, but it is difficult to put the tournament leader first on the danger list. Morocco is dangerous, yet France has been one of the most stable teams in the knockout rounds.

Spain also faces a serious test. Belgium arrives with confidence after scoring four goals against the United States, and this quarterfinal could be much closer than many fans expect.

Still, England looks like the favorite facing the most uncomfortable situation.

Norway has already knocked out Brazil. Haaland is scoring. The team has nothing to lose, and every win makes the idea of another upset feel less surprising.

That does not mean England will be eliminated. It means the gap between “favorite” and “underdog” looks unusually small in this matchup.

The biggest lesson from this tournament is simple: the favorite can change in 90 minutes. If you are choosing a champion now, you are not only asking which team is strongest. You are also asking which team can survive the path ahead.

And right now, that path looks dangerous for everyone.

FAQ

1. Who is the favorite to become the 2026 football champion?

France currently leads the Polymarket champion prediction market, with traders giving the team around a 33% chance of winning the tournament. The numbers can change quickly after each knockout match.

2. Which favorite is most likely to be eliminated next?

England may face the most dangerous quarterfinal among the leading teams. Norway recently eliminated Brazil, while Erling Haaland has been one of the tournament's top scorers.

3. Can Morocco eliminate France?

Yes. France is the clear favorite, but Morocco has already eliminated the Netherlands and reached the quarterfinal after another strong knockout win. Polymarket traders still give Morocco a meaningful chance of advancing.

4. Why do football prediction odds change so quickly?

Knockout results, injuries, player form and the remaining bracket can all change expectations. Once a team loses, its chance of becoming champion immediately falls to zero, while the teams that advance often see their probabilities rise.

5. What is the WEEX Cup Dice Rush Champion Challenge?

The Champion Challenge is a new activity within WEEX Cup Dice Rush. Participants can use activity points to support their chosen champion team. After the final, users who selected the winning team are ranked by their final Champion Challenge points and share the dedicated prize pool according to the activity rules.